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Risk Framework

Drawdown Management

Protecting capital during losing streaks is what separates professionals from amateurs. Learn how to survive drawdowns and come back stronger.

The Math of Drawdowns

Drawdowns are not linear. A 50% loss requires a 100% gain just to break even. This is why preventing large drawdowns is crucial.

DrawdownRequired to RecoverEstimated Trades
5%5.3%~5 wins at 1%
10%11.1%~10 wins at 1%
20%25%~20 wins at 1%
30%42.9%~35 wins at 1%
40%66.7%~55 wins at 1%
50%100%~70 wins at 1%

As drawdowns deepen, recovery becomes exponentially harder. This is why the 1% rule and proper risk management are non-negotiable.

Drawdown Action Plan

5% Drawdown

Review & Reduce

Warning
1.Review last 5 trades for pattern
2.Reduce position size by 50%
3.Only take A+ setups
4.Journal every decision

10% Drawdown

Pause Trading

Warning
1.Stop all live trading for 24-48 hours
2.Complete thorough trade review
3.Identify emotional triggers
4.Return with 25% position size

15% Drawdown

Full Reset

Critical
1.Stop trading for minimum 1 week
2.Paper trade to rebuild confidence
3.Review trading plan completely
4.Return with 10% position size

20%+ Drawdown

Seek Guidance

Critical
1.Something is fundamentally wrong
2.Consider mentorship/coaching
3.May need to revise entire strategy
4.Do not rush back into markets

Preventing Deep Drawdowns

Do

  • Stick to 1% max risk per trade
  • Only trade A+ setups on H4
  • Set daily and weekly loss limits
  • Journal every trade
  • Take breaks after losses

Don't

  • Increase position size after losses
  • Revenge trade to recover losses
  • Trade more during losing streaks
  • Ignore your trading plan
  • Trade tired, angry, or distracted

Recommended Loss Limits

Daily Loss Limit

2%

Stop trading for the day after 2 losses at 1%

Weekly Loss Limit

5%

Step back if you hit 5% for the week

Monthly Loss Limit

10%

Full pause and review if reached

Recovery Mindset

"The goal after a drawdown is not to make back the money quickly. It's to trade well and let the profits come naturally."

Focus on Process, Not Outcome

Each trade should follow your plan regardless of recent results

Reduce Size, Not Quality

Trade smaller positions but maintain high standards for setup quality

Accept That Losses Are Normal

Even the best traders have losing streaks. It's how you handle them that matters.

Remember

"Survival is success."

Protect capital first, profits second. A trader who preserves their account lives to trade another day.